Categories
Fun

Possibilities For A Deck Of 52 Randomized Cards

Is This Possible?

I was reading something about the possibilities in a deck of cards once shuffled. The person claimed that once properly randomized, it’s most likely that they have never been in that position before in the history of the earth.

Since I love numbers, I thought I would check it out, doing the math myself.

We are trying to reach the number of seconds to match the mathematical possibilities for a shuffled deck of cards.
Here is how it was stated to reach the number of seconds to match the possibilities.

Walk around the earth taking one step every billion years.

I figure a normal step is about one yard. So, it would take about 43,825,760 steps to get around the earth, and it would take 43,825,760,000,000,000 years to get it done.

Once you make it around the earth, take one drop of water from the Pacific Ocean.

Then start all over again, walk around the earth, 1 step each billion years, then take another drop water out of the Pacific Ocean.  Do this over and over until you have emptied the ocean.
The Pacific Ocean has about 14,152,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 drops of water, so it would take 620,222,155,420,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years to get the ocean emptied

Once you have the ocean emptied lay down a single piece of paper, flat on the earth.

Then fill the ocean back up and start all over again. Take one step each billion years until you circle the earth then take a drop out of the ocean each time you circle the earth until it’s empty again. Once you have emptied the ocean again then stack another sheet of paper flat on top of the last sheet.

Continue this process, stacking one piece of paper each time you have emptied the ocean until the paper reaches the Sun!  Are you kidding?

I figured the number of sheets of paper to get to the Sun was about 1,472,500,000,000,000. This was figured using 250 sheets per inch.
So, we take this number times the years to get the ocean emptied.

Now guess what?

We haven’t even come close to matching the number of possibilities in a shuffled deck of cards.

So, to pass the remaining time, deal yourself a 5-card poker hand once every billion years.

Each time you get a Royal Flush, buy a lottery ticket.

The odds of getting a Royal Flush in five cards is 649,739 to one.  Since you are dealing once every one billion years, it would take 649,739,000,000,000 years to get one.  Once you get a Royal Flush, buy a lottery ticket. Keep doing this until you win the lottery.

Once you win the lottery, head to the Grand Canyon and throw in one grain of sand.

Then do it again, deal yourself a 5-card poker hand once every billion years until you get another Royal Flush.  Then buy another lottery ticket and continue until you hit the Grand Prize.  Then one more grain of sand in the Grand Canyon.

Now, once you get the Grand Canyon full of sand, head over to Mt. Everest
and take away one ounce of earth from it.

You guessed it, start all over again, deal yourself a hand once every billion years until you get a Royal Flush, buy a lottery ticket for each Royal Flush until you hit the main jackpot, then throw a grain of sand into the Grand Canyon for each jackpot until full, once full get another ounce from Mt Everest.  Repeat over and over until you have leveled Mt Everest.

So, after walking around the earth at one step each billion years, taking out one drop of water from the Pacific Ocean until emptied, then laying a single piece of paper flat on the ground each time you empty the ocean, until the paper reaches the Sun.

Then dealing yourself, one 5-card poker hand each billion years until you get a Royal Flush.  For every royal flush you buy a lottery ticket until you hit the lottery.  Once you hit the lottery, throw one grain of sand into the Grand Canyon, repeat until full.  Once full take one ounce from Mt. Everest – repeat until Everest is gone.  And guess what?  According to the article you are still short.  You would need to repeat this whole process another 255 times to match the number of seconds in the possibilities of a randomized deck of 52 cards.

According to the article we would still be short on time, but according to my math, we have finally made it. We are now at 4,568,027,063,769,760,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years. Since there are about 31,540,000 seconds in a year, we should have reached the number of possibilities in a randomized deck of cards.

That number is: 80,658,175,170,943,878,571,660,636,856,403,766,975,289,505,440,883,277,824,000,000,000,000

The blog post that I was looking at, can be found here.

Odds of winning the lottery are 13,986,816 to one.
Using these numbers, it would take 9,087,779,841,024 years to win one lottery
I figured it would take 88,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 grains of to fill up the Grand Canyon.
It would take 799,724,626,010,112,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years to fill up the Grand Canyon
Per sources, Mt Everest weighs 5,712,000,000,000,000 in ounces.

A side note:  I got to thinking last night of all the different casinos around the world and how often they shuffle the cards.  Then of all the people that play cards all around the world.  Surely with everyone in the world shuffling cards constantly there would be several duplicate shuffles.  So I decided to do the math.

Cards have been around for about 500 years and there are about 7,530,000,000 people on earth.

Let’s assume that there have been that many people for the last 500 years and every person in the world shuffled a deck of cards every second.  There are 86,400 seconds in one day and 31,536,000 seconds in one year.  If you take that times the number of years since cards have been around, you would get 15,768,000,000 seconds for a period of 500 years.

Now take that times 7,530,000,000 and you get 118,733,040,000,000,000,000.  That’s how many shuffles you would have if everyone on earth has shuffled a deck of cards every second for the last 500 years.

The odds of anyone shuffling an exact duplicate deck are 1 in 679,323,760,016,115,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

So it’s almost a certainty that no one has ever shuffled a deck of cards randomly and came up with the same order of cards that someone else has ever done on earth for all time!

To take it a little further, let’s say that everyone on earth has been shuffling for every second since the beginning of the universe 13.8 Billion years ago.  In that case the probability of having a duplicate shuffle would only be one in 24,613,179,710,728,800,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

Let’s go a little deeper.  Let’s say that there are 10 Billion galaxies in the universe.  Each galaxy has about 100 billion stars.  Let’s say that each star has 10 planets and that each planet has 7,530,000,000 people.  Now let’s say that all of these people have been shuffling cards since the beginning of the universe 13.8 Billion years ago.  You would have 75,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,00,000,000 people shuffling cards 435,196,800,000,000,000 times.  That would equal a total of 32,770,319,040,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 shuffles.  The odds of any two being the same would be one in 2,461,317,971,072,880,000.  That’s over 2.4 Quintillion.

Still No One Has Shuffled A Duplicate Deck!!!

So just remember, every time you shuffle a deck of cards, they have never been in that exact position before.

You Are Making History!!

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Categories
Customers Fun Social Marketing Stories

Is Facebook Doomed?

For the past few months there has been an increased rise in the number of “niche” social media platforms due perhaps to the heavy criticism networks leveled toward some of the popular social media platforms.

For example, Facebook has received some scrutiny recently regarding their lack of privacy and the priority that is given to advertisers.  What many couldn’t have predicted last year was the emergence of a new social platform intended to go head-to-head with social media giant, Facebook. The platform, which is still in public beta (meaning invite-only), has caused quite a stir; dubbed by some as the ‘hipster social network’, Ello offers a forever ad-free experience and promises to never sell its users’ information to third parties. Their website states: “Collecting and selling your personal data, reading your posts to your friends, and mapping your social connections for profit is both creepy and unethical. Under the guise of offering a “free” service, users pay a high price in intrusive advertising and lack of privacy.”

It’s unclear at this point whether the extreme buzz around the platform is simply because of its positioning as the ‘anti-Facebook’, or whether it has the substance, design and functionality to actually become a serious competitor for Facebook. Engagement on the platform doesn’t seem to be high at this point, and some are pointing out the current weaknesses of the platform, including the lack of video-integration and meaningful conversation and engagement.

ello-logoRegardless, Ello is likely to grow in 2015, both in terms of numbers and engagement, and many will be watching closely.

Speaking of Facebook, Facebook’s ad pricing and demand will significantly increase.  It’s no secret that Facebook post reach is significantly decreasing, and has become a serious problem for business owners who are using the platform for marketing purposes. This steady decline in reach is what has been coined the Filtered Feed Problem.  As Facebook continues to limit the number of posts page fans actually see, the demand for promoted posts and ads will continue to increase. And with this increased demand will come increased pricing.

Twitter’s new business advertising model will skyrocket in popularity. With Twitter’s move to offering businesses more choice and flexibility in how and what they pay for in terms of advertising, more small and medium-sized businesses will jump on the Twitter ad bandwagon.  The new fee structure allows businesses to pay for certain performance-based actions rather than just retweets or clicks.

These objective-based campaigns, which are still currently in beta, will offer more flexibility including tweet engagements (retweets, replies, etc.), website clicks or conversions, app installs, new followers and leads. These campaigns will be particularly appealing to small business owners who want to pay for results, not just for brand visibility.

Instagram will also continue to grow in the micro-video space. With both Vine and Instagram vying for billing as the top video networking site, the platforms have continued to differentiate themselves from the other offering different features, video lengths and editing capabilities. However, I believe we’ll see Instagram begin to outpace Vine as we enter 2015.

And with the recent emergence of Instagram’s in-feed video advertising, marketers will now have the option of paying to target their 15-second videos to users based on age, gender and country. While some have called the new video ads incongruous, the new feature is a welcome addition for marketers looking to promote their wares to Instagram’s young, affluent user base.

LinkedIn has been the top network of choice for the B2B crowd for years already, and I believe we’ll see the gap between LinkedIn and other networks continue to widen in 2015.

While B2C marketers report LinkedIn as being significantly less important than Facebook or Twitter for their marketing efforts, the numbers are quite different for the B2B crowd: according to the 2014 Social Media Examiner survey, 88% of B2B marketers are using LinkedIn, compared to 89% for Facebook and 86% for Twitter.

In 2015, marketers will finally realize that there are two core pillars of a content marketing strategy: publication and distribution. Marketers will learn that social media is the most effective method of expanding the reach and visibility of their content, and because of this, will come to view social media as more of an “amplifier” for their published content rather than as the content itself.

So, while the content marketing buzz continues to pick up steam, marketers needs to remember that a distribution strategy for that content is just as important, if not more important, than the content itself.

Some things to look for in 2016:  an increase in the use of podcasting, video social commerce and mobile marketing.

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Categories
Fun

Old Spice Funny Website

Flash websites are mostly gone from the web.  But from time to time I find one.  This one from Old Spice is pretty odd and funny.

musclesurprise.com

It just goes to show you some of the cool things you can do with Flash.  

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Categories
Fun Graphics Weekly Tips

Redesigned Site?

Cool info-graphic from Sprout.

Courtesy of: Quick Sprout

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Categories
Fun Web Tools

My top 5 Google Chrome Apps

Top 5 Google Chrome Apps

I know a lot of people use Google to do their searches. More and more people are using alternatives to Internet Explorer to surf the web (i.e. Firefox, Chrome, Safari). But do you know that you can use Google’s Chrome for so much more? You can get so many free or cheap apps. It’s like a smart phone for you computer. But even more powerful. You can use if for all kinds of things.

Here are 5 apps I use for business or I recommend them to clients that don’t have access to more expensive programs, like Photoshop.

1. Chrome Remote Desktop.

This has to be one of the handiest free tools I have ever used.  I can log into my computer from almost anywhere.  I can also set up a client so I can help them do almost anything.
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/chrome-remote-desktop/gbchcmhmhahfdphkhkmpfmihenigjmpp?hl=en

2. Chrome Drive

Free storage for pics, files, whatever.  Up to 15 GB.  Nice.  I use this all the time.  Plus it’s easy to share a file with someone.

Those are the ones that I recommend that Google makes, they have a few more that are fun, but not quite making my top 5.

3. Pixlr.com/editor/

Now this technically can be used in other browsers, but with Chrome you can set it up as an app (it really just redirects you to the site, but that’s just a technicality).  But if you don’t have Photoshop or don’t feel like working in GIMP.  This is an easy to use and readily available tool.  Try it out it’s so fun.
http://pixlr.com/editor/

4. Mint

This falls into the category of the above, where it really just directs you to the site.  But this is a great free tool to help you manage all of your finances.  It will log into any account and keep everything in once place.  It can help budget, see how much your spending at Starbucks, whatever.
https://www.mint.com/t/fy14016b/

5. Google Play

Ok, back to Google.  This is where you can have all of your apps, music, videos in one place on any computer or other device that you can log into.  It’s convenient and fun.
https://play.google.com

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Categories
Fun

Do You Prepare Before a Task?

Do You Prepare Before a Task?

Give me 6 hours to chop down a tree and I will spend the first 4 sharpening my axe” is a quote by Abe Lincoln.

The meaning I get from this quote is.. you need to take time to find and then use the best tools to complete your task. Not sure Abe needed 4 hrs to sharpen his ax. Even with a dull ax he probably could have chopped the tree down in less than the four hours he spent sharpening. But he knew a dull ax would make the task longer, more tiring, dangerous and even more frustrating. You get the idea.

To get things done efficiently you have to prepare before you actually work on your task to make sure you have the right tools for the job. Working with the wrong tools will waste time and energy. This thought process can be applied to things at work and home.

You decide you are going to paint a room. You go to the store without preparing a list of things you need to do the job, like paint, rollers, brushes, tarp, paint tray etc.  You get home and realize you didn’t get the painters tape.  That’s a very important tool to get the job done quicker and neater.  So now you make another trip out to the store and waste time or you have to paint slower and be more careful because you don’t have the painter tape protecting your woodwork.

A boy scout would say “Be Prepared” and we all know the saying “Haste Makes Waste.”  Making sure you have the right tools for the job and have them within arm’s reach as you start your task, will help you  complete your task efficiently.  Sometime the prep work isn’t the most fun but it will make the job easier.   Imagine a chef not having the food prepped before dinner service.  How efficiently would food be served to diners working that way?  That longer wait time may just lose that restaurant a few customers.

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Categories
Fun

Junk Email and Phone Calls

Junk Email and Phone Calls: How to Handle them and Stay Safe!

I received this in an email, I am not sure who the author is, but the information looks good.

Advice from snopes.Com VERY IMPORTANT!!

1) Any time you see an email that says “forward this on to ’10’ (or however many) of your friends”, “sign this petition”, or “you’ll get bad luck” or “you’ll get good luck” or “you’ll see something funny on your screen after you send it” or whatever — it almost always has an email tracker program attached that tracks the cookies and emails of those folks you forward to. The host sender is getting a copy each time it gets forwarded and then is able to get lists of ‘active’ email addresses to use in SPAM emails or sell to other Spammers. Even when you get emails that demand you send the email on if you’re not ashamed of God/Jesus — that is email tracking, and they are playing on our conscience. These people don’t care how they get your email addresses – just as long as they get them. Also, emails that talk about a missing child or a child with an incurable disease “how would you feel if that was your child” — email tracking. Ignore them and don’t participate!

2) Almost all emails that ask you to add your name and forward on to others are similar to that mass letter years ago that asked people to send business cards to the little kid in Florida who wanted to break the Guinness Book of Records for the most cards. All it was, and all any of this type of email is, is a way to get names and ‘cookie’ tracking information for telemarketers and Spammers — to validate active email accounts for their own profitable purposes.

You can do your Friends and Family members a GREAT favor by sending this information to them. You will be providing a service to your friends. And you will be rewarded by not getting thousands of spam emails in the future!
Do yourself a favor and STOP adding your name(S) to those types of listing regardless how inviting they might sound! Or make you feel guilty if you don’t! It’s all about getting email addresses and nothing more.

You may think you are supporting a GREAT cause, but you are NOT!

Instead, you will be getting tons of junk mail later and very possibly a virus attached! Plus, we are helping the Spammers get rich! Let’s not make it easy for them!

ALSO: Email petitions are NOT acceptable to Congress of any other organization – I.e. Social security, etc. To be acceptable, petitions must have a “signed signature” and full address of the person signing the petition, so this is a waste of time and you are just helping the email trackers.

Handling Robo Calls

T ips for Handling Telemarketers

Three Little Words That Work!!
(1)The three little words are: ‘Hold On, Please…’

Saying this, while putting down your phone and walking off (instead of hanging-up immediately) would make each telemarketing call so much more time-consuming that boiler room sales would grind to a halt.

Then when you eventually hear the phone company’s ‘beep-beep-beep’ tone, you know it’s time to go back and hang up your handset, which has efficiently completed its task.

These three little words will help eliminate telephone soliciting..

(2) Do you ever get those annoying phone calls with no one on the other end?

This is a telemarketing technique where a machine makes phone calls and records the time of day when a person answers the phone.

This technique is used to determine the best time of day for a ‘real’ sales person to call back and get someone at home.
What you can do after answering, if you notice there is no one there, is to immediately start hitting your # button on the phone, 6 or 7 times as quickly as possible. This confuses the machine that dialed the call, and it kicks your number out of their system.. Gosh, what a shame not to have your name in their system any longer!!!

We hope this helps you handle your junk email and phone calls and gives you some practical ideas on what to do and not to do.

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